SVN® International Corp. Economic Update – Keeping our clients up-to-date about the latest real estate landscape trends.
The October 30, 2025 Economic Update shows a mixed but gradually stabilizing landscape for the U.S. economy. Inflation cooled modestly in September, with the CPI rising just 0.3% month-over-month, while annual inflation edged up to 3.0%. The Federal Reserve responded to a softening labor market with a second consecutive 25-basis-point rate cut, although Chair Jerome Powell noted uncertainty about further easing amid limited economic data due to the government shutdown. Meanwhile, GDP growth remained robust according to the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast, which estimated Q3 expansion at 3.9%—well above consensus expectations.
In commercial real estate, property prices and transaction activity continued to strengthen. The MSCI-RCA index showed a 0.7% monthly and 2.6% annual gain, led by the office and retail sectors, while multifamily values declined slightly. CRE transaction volume hit a 2025 peak of $27 billion in September, with 70% of assets selling above prior purchase prices. However, the ongoing government shutdown has caused some project delays, especially those tied to federal financing. On the housing front, existing home sales rose for the second straight month, and national rent collections improved modestly. Consumer confidence, however, dipped to a six-month low, signaling potential caution ahead of the holiday spending season.
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